Prudent Speculator Holiday Calendar 2007
With the number of stocks on our recommended list now north of 210 names, representing the greatest number we've ever shown in the newsletter (493 Prudent Speculator issues dating back to March 1977), we think it a terrific time for long-term-oriented investors to be adding to their equity portfolios.
As we stated on our Prudent Speculator Hotline this past Monday, investor pessimism, a bullish contra-indicator, is running at high levels as evidenced by elevated short interest figures, negative investor sentiment polls, desperate flights of dollars from domestic mutual funds, hefty inflows into money market mutual funds and dismal readings on consumer confidence.
Actually, despite the fact that the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment reading dropped to 76.1 in November from 80.9 in October, we ought to be pretty happy about the latest figure as, aside from the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina in 2005, the last time sentiment was this bleak was in March 2003, perhaps one of the best times in our three decades of publishing The Prudent Speculator to be buying our stock recommendations.
Despite the rebound over the last few trading sessions, November was an ugly month for equities. Still, we are now in the seasonally favorable six months of the year and the fourth year of the presidential cycle has historically delivered better-than-average returns. Perhaps most important, stock valuations are now even more inexpensive as the forward P/E on the S&P 500 is in the 14 range, producing an earnings yield (the inverse of the P/E) near 7%, compared to a 4% 10-year treasury yield.
Certainly, there remain numerous reasons to fret, but we also can’t forget that equity investing has been a positive sum game with research firm Morningstar reporting average returns of 10% to 12% per annum from 1927 through 2006 available to folks who didn’t panic during the scary periods and who stayed true to a disciplined approach, rather than chasing after the latest hot stock, sector or country. We continue to dance with what brung us, meaning that we stay focused on buying what we believe are undervalued stocks and holding them in broadly diversified portfolios for their long-term appreciation potential.
With the holiday season fast approaching, we are offering a gift to faithful readers of the Buckingham Report. We have put together a 2007 holiday calendar that ultimately will feature 52 of our favorite undervalued stocks, all of which will be chosen from the recommended list of The Prudent Speculator as of November 30, 2007. Of course, we'll add the friendly reminder that these stocks are to be held in a broadly diversified portfolio for their long-term, three-to-five year appreciation potential.
Certainly, we recognize that we are utilizing the traditional Advent calendar as the basis for our holiday gift, but in seeking not to offend anyone, our calendar includes the eight days of Hanukkah and extends beyond the customary Advent conclusion on Christmas Eve to include Christmas Day, the beginning of Kwanzaa and Boxing Day.
Simply moving a mouse over the date will reveal each recommendation with two stocks visible on December 1, two stocks visible on December 2 and so on until December 26 when all 52 will appear. There is no need to utilize a new Web address every day as the calendar will always be available by visiting http://www.prudentspeculator.com/2007/calendar.html. Readers may wish to bookmark this URL or save this e-mail!
For Prudent Speculator subscribers only, on December 27, we will publish an additional list of the same companies, including related financial and valuation metrics, via a special report on our Web site, prudentspeculator.com.
Happy Holidays from all of us at Al Frank Asset Management and Best Wishes for a healthy, prosperous and tranquil 2008!
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Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The information contained herein is believed to be reliable. However, such information has not been verified by us and we do not make any representations as to its accuracy or completeness.
Neither the information contained in the Holiday Calendar, nor any opinion expressed in the Buckingham Report, shall be construed to be or constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities.
Opinions expressed are those of John Buckingham, which are subject to change without notice and are not intended to be a forecast of future events, a guarantee of future results, nor investment advice. Performance results of such recommendations are subject to risks and uncertainties including (i) national and international economic conditions and fluctuations, (ii) economic conditions of particular industry and service sectors, (iii) the ability of the management of the company whose security is recommended to perform and achieve expected results of operations.
Recommendations that appear in the Holiday Calendar may not be suitable for everyone, may not yield profitable results and may actually result in loss of investment capital.
Al Frank Asset Management, Inc. (Al Frank) is adviser to its own proprietary mutual funds and is the manager of individual client investment accounts. As adviser to its own proprietary mutual funds and manager of individual client accounts, Al Frank may purchase, sell or hold positions in the securities that appear on the Holiday Calendar. Also, Al Frank employees may hold, purchase or sell any of the stocks that appear on the Holiday Calendar subject to Al Frank Internal Trading policies.
Al Frank Asset Management, Inc
32392 Coast Hwy, Suite 260
Laguna Beach, CA 92651
USA
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About Al Frank Asset Management
Al Frank Asset Management, Inc. ( Al Frank ) is an Investment Adviser, registered with the Securities & Exchange Commission, is editor of The Prudent Speculator newsletter, editor and publisher of The Prudent Speculator TechValue Report newsletter, and is the Investment Adviser for individually managed accounts and two value-oriented no-load proprietary equity mutual funds.
Al Frank is committed to assisting our customers build wealth. We are a leading resource for value-based investor information in the financial community, where we combine our simple, proven philosophy of buying undervalued securities for their long-term appreciation with our experience, hard work and intensive research to give you actionable investment information that can be used on a daily basis.
For information on separate account management, please call us toll free at (888) 994-6827. Or, visit us at www.alfrank.com .